I think we will see an uptick. I also watched the case numbers 2 weeks after Mother's Day and they did not go down as I hope they should have.
I personally know a lady 79 yrs old who was staying home since March until Mother's Day when her kids wanted to see her. (Guess grandmas can't say no.)
They had a family gathering, and someone attending must've been asymptomatic and now she is in the hospital and 2 of her kids have it, too.
The risks are just not worth it. I don't understand why people insist on gathering when it is strongly advised NOT to! Is it that hard to have a little self-discipline?