They were saying just rain out of it for us. I hope so, and that it's not too much.

@Blackhorse77
Can I tell you a story about "its only rain"?

So, I am in limbo ... is this thing coming or not and if so will it be before next weekend?

Nothing here

If that thing comes here, we are going. I'm not about to spend a week in Houston with no air conditioning.

@analogkid. Help us out here

Models do not have a real good grasp on this as far as it being an organized storm. Because of its disheveldness, spaghetti plots are nearly useless. It would only be by chance, for now, that a storm would follow one of these tracks. Hurricane Hunters have also cancelled today's recon into it. Right now, odds are still very low for development. The expanding high pressure over the SE U.S. will guide whatever form this wave takes on a W/NW path into the GoM. However, to all those declaring 99L dead - if there is a low pressure area with convection, in a moderate shear environment, over 85 deg F water, that is a foolish statement and demonstrates a lack of understanding of tropical development. All we can do, unfortunately, is continue to watch at this point. It may rapidly intensify or may simply be an area of enhanced rainfall for us next weekend.

@analogkid You are always AWESOME! I elected to stay and just organize some stuff we might want to take in a future storm. DH had stuff to do but knows if it comes up he would be out but it just didn't seem that it would spin it here. I hope I don't regret it but it is the risk you take when the Gulf is your back door!

99L was found to have a closed circulation by HH recon today, thus it was upgraded to Tropical Depression 9. It will continue to meander and, likely, intensify some more as it wobbles into the central GoM. Right now current thought is that it will slow its movement and eventually curve N/NE in response to weakening of the high pressure camped over the SE U.S. It could take 4-5 days, but if it doesn't dissipate over water, landfall will likely be between MS and the FL bend. Such a lazy storm.

@analogkid So all that means we are going to miss this one? It has been great this weekend but a little scary thunder last night but I was so tired I just went to sleep and it didn't wake me up. I hope we don't have a major one this year. Everything is so clean and so much new construction that hopefully they stay away for a while although my 30 year roof is looking a little bad already and that was replaced with Ike.
Thank you for keeping us up on the storm.

@analogkid
Thanks for the updates. They are appreciated very much.

@ladybeachbum It's a non-zero chance, but I'd put it in low single digits to make its way here.

@analogkid We all know they can change directions! I just needed a little kick to get more prepared if one comes later.

@analogkid Yes, thank you for the updates