Don't miss what's happening in Atascocita
People on Atascocita.com are the first to know.
Go to top of page
Close
 
Close
Back

Recession Indicators Flashing Red? Dow Falls 460 points

Recession Indicators Flashing Red? Dow Falls 460 points

« Back
This discussion has been locked.
Message Menu
by: EddyFree Active Indicator LED Icon 10 OP 
~ 5 years ago   Mar 22, '19 8:25pm  
Recession Indicators Flashing Red? Dow Falls 460 points
 
Loading Image...
 
The "Yield Curve" has INVERTED....
 
Hide Yo Kids, Hide Yo Wife!
Loading Image...
 
Maybe our resident Economics Guru @ClydePuckett can shed some light on it all, let's give him a call:
 
Loading Image...
* Reactions disabled on political threads.
What are your thoughts? Log in or sign up to comment
Replies:
Message Menu
Clydepuckett Active Indicator LED Icon 11
~ 5 years ago   Mar 22, '19 9:41pm  
@EddyFree :
 
Appreciate the smoke signal. Recovering from skin cancer surgery. I woN't post a picture of the 6" gash on my arm.
 
But, on to the subject at hand. The yield curve is a symptom.....not the disease. IMHO, the Fed has gone overboard in their tightening process. They needed to raise rates. They needed to shrink their balance sheets (aka sell Tbonds back into the market). But, they are prolly overdoing the Tbond resales at the present time.
 
The aftermath of quantitative easing measures that saw global central banks snap up government bonds may have robbed inversions of their reliability as a predictor. Since so many Treasurys are held by central banks, the yield can no longer be seen as market-driven.
 
It's a new day for this indicator, but I'd keep an eye on it. Anyone here beside me remember the Jimmy Carter years when the prime rate was 22% and 30 year mortgages were 18%. Now that is an inverted curve,
 
****edit****forgot one thing. This indicator is always accompanied by a rise in unemployment. Keep an eye on that.
* Reactions disabled on political threads.
Message Menu
Clydepuckett Active Indicator LED Icon 11
~ 5 years ago   Mar 22, '19 9:45pm  
BTW, Pres Trump put a stud supply sider on the Fed Board today, Stephen Miller. Good friend of economics adviser Larry Kudlow. He's been critical of Fed chair Powell recently. Should be interesting.
* Reactions disabled on political threads.
Message Menu
+1 Active Indicator LED Icon 14
~ 5 years ago   Mar 22, '19 9:59pm  
Trump is a fat ho.
 
...and you're still interested.
* Reactions disabled on political threads.
Message Menu
Clydepuckett Active Indicator LED Icon 11
~ 5 years ago   Mar 22, '19 10:15pm  
@+1 :
 
Trump is a fat ho.

...and you're still interested.
 
Does that actually mean something? I don't get it.
* Reactions disabled on political threads.
Message Menu
Clydepuckett Active Indicator LED Icon 11
~ 5 years ago   Mar 23, '19 12:03am  
@+1 :
 
Any clue you can give me would help......or tell me your brand of drink......seems good whatever it is..
* Reactions disabled on political threads.
Message Menu
Luckysis Active Indicator LED Icon 8
~ 5 years ago   Mar 23, '19 6:23am  
@Clydepuckett : Prayers for quick and complete healing.
* Reactions disabled on political threads.
Message Menu
OBalls Active Indicator LED Icon 6
~ 5 years ago   Mar 23, '19 7:24am  
"yield curve inversion" in the parlance of the markets. Such unusual occurrences have preceded every recession over the last 60 years.
 
Wow
 
It's not good for the economy to carry massive debt especially when things were going good and you should have surpluses. The GOP fat cat tax break really pumped up the debt for a small GDP spike that was tiny and short lived, like a sugar rush, short term gain for massive long term debt and pain.
 
In other unrelated but disconcerting news the US Marine Corp reported that it's state of combat readiness has declined due to border deployments and associated costs.
 
The commandant of the Marines has warned the Pentagon that deployments to the southwest border and funding transfers under the president's emergency declaration, among other unexpected demands, have posed "unacceptable risk to Marine Corps combat readiness and solvency.
* Reactions disabled on political threads.
Message Menu
Clydepuckett Active Indicator LED Icon 11
~ 5 years ago   Mar 23, '19 8:05am  
@Luckysis :
 
Thanks. I'll take all the prayers, but I'm fine. Just a basal cell carcinoma, but it was big. Large stitched up gash. But thank you very much.
* Reactions disabled on political threads.
Message Menu
ladybeachbum Active Indicator LED Icon 16
~ 5 years ago   Mar 23, '19 8:18am  
@Clydepuckett : Prayers for fast healing. My friend gets them taken off often. He lost a part of his ear one time and you would never know it.
* Reactions disabled on political threads.
Message Menu
EddyFree Active Indicator LED Icon 10 OP 
~ 5 years ago   Mar 23, '19 10:15am  
So how does one tell their wife that her yield curve has inverted?...Loading Image...
* Reactions disabled on political threads.
Message Menu
Clydepuckett Active Indicator LED Icon 11
~ 5 years ago   Mar 26, '19 12:03am  
Damn, the bond market....many times the size of the stock market....thinks it's coming.
 
Yields are way down......2.40% approximately.......that is way down. ****edit****10 year yield
 
Keep your eyes open.
* Reactions disabled on political threads.
This discussion has been locked.
« Back to Main Page
Views: 268
# Replies: 11

Club Z! In Home & Online Tutoring Services of Kingwood




Town Center Park Association Logo Lamb of God Preschool Logo Dogtopia Atascocita Logo Best Investments Siding & Windows Logo TNT Tree Service Logo McNamara Law Office, PLLC Logo Agape Garage Doors, LLC Logo Madd Air-Heating and Cooling Logo FullScope Pest Control Logo K & S Sportswear Logo MiCo Environmental Solutions LLC ~ GENERATORS Logo Club Z! In Home & Online Tutoring Services of Kingwood Logo Primrose School of Kingwood Logo The Flying Biscuit Cafe Logo Cruz Tree Service Logo Your Junk Our Trunk Logo Old Humble Distilling Company Logo All Star Memories Photography Logo Houston Hyperbaric Oxygen Center Logo Kosmin Media Group  Logo Atascocita.com Online Advertising Logo Kingwood Spaces Logo The Framestead Group Logo Suzanne (Susie) Compian  - Member of The Bunyan Team Logo Superior Janitorial Services Logo Trademark Kitchen, Bath, & Remodeling Inc. Logo JMP Wines Logo K's Autohaus Logo
Sponsor an ad Sponsor an Ad »